🎓 Explain Like I'm 10
Someone spent a small amount of money to rent mining power from NiceHash for a short time. They pointed it at the Bitcoin network solo, hoping to win the lottery.
On Sep 21, 2026, against enormous odds, they hit the jackpot — block #967,915 worth $257,325. The cost of renting that hashrate? A fraction of the reward.
🎲 The Odds — Show Your Work
Miner's share of total Bitcoin hashrate
0.010961%
Miner: 102.9 PH/s vs Network: 938.6 EH/s
Miner hashrate (Estimated from block frequency (9 blocks found))
102.9 PH/s
Bitcoin network hashrate
938.6 EH/s
Chance of winning each block
1 in 9,123
Expected wait time at this hashrate
63 days
Expected blocks to find 1 solo block
9,123 blocks
Probability per block = miner_hashrate / network_hashrate
= 102.9 PH/s / 938.6 EH/s
= 1 in 9,123
Expected wait = blocks_to_win × 10 minutes
= 9,123 × 10 min = 2.1 months
⛏️ Miner Profile
Hashrate (24h)
102.9 PH/s (est. from 9 blocks)
Estimated from block frequency (9 blocks found)
Solo blocks found (tracked)
9 blocks
🏗️
Large mining farm
Thousands of ASICs, industrial power
🎯 The Winning Number — Nonce Visualizer
To mine a block, the miner cycles through numbers from 0 to 4,294,967,295 at billions per second, checking if each produces a valid hash. Number 2,488,126,975 was the winner.
02,488,126,975 ← winner4,294,967,295
2,488,126,975
Winning Nonce
1,806,840,320
Numbers after
💡 The miner also tried different extra nonce values — restarting from 0 each time the full 4.29B range was exhausted. Modern ASICs can cycle through the entire nonce space in ~0ms.
💸 Fee Breakdown — What the Miner Captured
The block reward has two parts: a fixed subsidy set by Bitcoin protocol, plus transaction fees paid by users who wanted their transactions included.
Subsidy — 3.1250 BTC (98.8%)
Fixed reward, halves every 4 years
Fees — 0.038065 BTC (1.2%)
From 3,442 transactions in this block
⚡ Solo miners keep 100% of fees — no pool takes a cut. In pool mining, the fee revenue is also split among all pool members.
🏆 Miner Block History — 9 Blocks Found
$2,308,017
Total USD value
71 days
Avg between finds
Mar 4, 2025 · 18:28 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.2007 BTC ≈ $260,383
May 7, 2025 · 05:07 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1439 BTC ≈ $255,767
⏱ 63 days since previous find
Jan 6, 2026 · 01:41 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1298 BTC ≈ $254,619
⏱ 244 days since previous find
Feb 7, 2026 · 14:39 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1496 BTC ≈ $256,232
⏱ 33 days since previous find
May 17, 2026 · 06:18 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1422 BTC ≈ $255,625
⏱ 99 days since previous find
Jun 4, 2026 · 17:25 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1547 BTC ≈ $256,644
⏱ 18 days since previous find
Jun 20, 2026 · 02:12 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1427 BTC ≈ $255,670
⏱ 15 days since previous find
Sep 20, 2026 · 23:30 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1437 BTC ≈ $255,753
⏱ 93 days since previous find
#967,915THIS BLOCK
Sep 21, 2026 · 00:22 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1631 BTC ≈ $257,325
⏱ 0 days since previous find
📊 At 102.9 PH/s hashrate, statistically expected to find a block every 63 days. Actual average: 71 days. 😤 Unlucky so far.