🎓 Explain Like I'm 10
Someone spent a small amount of money to rent mining power from NiceHash for a short time. They pointed it at the Bitcoin network solo, hoping to win the lottery.
On Aug 31, 2026, against enormous odds, they hit the jackpot — block #964,913 worth $244,870. The cost of renting that hashrate? A fraction of the reward.
🎲 The Odds — Show Your Work
Miner's share of total Bitcoin hashrate
0.383385%
Miner: 3.59 EH/s vs Network: 936.99 EH/s
Miner hashrate (Estimated from block frequency (133 blocks found))
3.59 EH/s
Bitcoin network hashrate
936.99 EH/s
Chance of winning each block
1 in 261
Expected wait time at this hashrate
2 days
Expected blocks to find 1 solo block
261 blocks
Probability per block = miner_hashrate / network_hashrate
= 3.59 EH/s / 936.99 EH/s
= 1 in 261
Expected wait = blocks_to_win × 10 minutes
= 261 × 10 min = 2 days
⛏️ Miner Profile
Hashrate (24h)
3.59 EH/s (est. from 133 blocks)
Estimated from block frequency (133 blocks found)
Solo blocks found (tracked)
133 blocks
🏗️
Industrial mining operation
Multiple EH/s — major mining company
🎯 The Winning Number — Nonce Visualizer
To mine a block, the miner cycles through numbers from 0 to 4,294,967,295 at billions per second, checking if each produces a valid hash. Number 1,670,076,047 was the winner.
01,670,076,047 ← winner4,294,967,295
1,670,076,047
Winning Nonce
2,624,891,248
Numbers after
💡 The miner also tried different extra nonce values — restarting from 0 each time the full 4.29B range was exhausted. Modern ASICs can cycle through the entire nonce space in ~0ms.
💸 Fee Breakdown — What the Miner Captured
The block reward has two parts: a fixed subsidy set by Bitcoin protocol, plus transaction fees paid by users who wanted their transactions included.
Subsidy — 3.1250 BTC (99.2%)
Fixed reward, halves every 4 years
Fees — 0.025308 BTC (0.8%)
From 4,460 transactions in this block
⚡ Solo miners keep 100% of fees — no pool takes a cut. In pool mining, the fee revenue is also split among all pool members.
🏆 Miner Block History — 133 Blocks Found
418.4810
Total BTC earned
$32,528,111
Total USD value
Sep 4, 2026 · 11:33 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1453 BTC ≈ $244,478
⏱ 1 days since previous find
Sep 4, 2026 · 21:58 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1558 BTC ≈ $245,298
⏱ 0 days since previous find
Sep 5, 2026 · 01:27 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1623 BTC ≈ $245,801
⏱ 0 days since previous find
Sep 6, 2026 · 05:05 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1456 BTC ≈ $244,502
⏱ 1 days since previous find
Sep 6, 2026 · 11:22 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1346 BTC ≈ $243,653
⏱ 0 days since previous find
Sep 7, 2026 · 05:17 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1385 BTC ≈ $243,950
⏱ 1 days since previous find
Sep 8, 2026 · 11:03 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1308 BTC ≈ $243,358
⏱ 1 days since previous find
Sep 8, 2026 · 14:25 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1409 BTC ≈ $244,136
⏱ 0 days since previous find
Sep 9, 2026 · 00:50 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1418 BTC ≈ $244,211
⏱ 0 days since previous find
Sep 9, 2026 · 05:02 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1330 BTC ≈ $243,522
⏱ 0 days since previous find
Sep 9, 2026 · 06:48 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1444 BTC ≈ $244,410
⏱ 0 days since previous find
Sep 9, 2026 · 08:16 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1480 BTC ≈ $244,688
⏱ 0 days since previous find
Sep 9, 2026 · 09:40 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1599 BTC ≈ $245,619
⏱ 0 days since previous find
Sep 9, 2026 · 10:43 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1525 BTC ≈ $245,037
⏱ 0 days since previous find
Sep 10, 2026 · 21:33 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1328 BTC ≈ $243,509
⏱ 1 days since previous find
Sep 11, 2026 · 07:18 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1378 BTC ≈ $243,897
⏱ 0 days since previous find
Sep 11, 2026 · 11:26 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1719 BTC ≈ $246,550
⏱ 0 days since previous find
Sep 11, 2026 · 20:29 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1300 BTC ≈ $243,288
⏱ 0 days since previous find
Sep 12, 2026 · 18:20 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1348 BTC ≈ $243,662
⏱ 1 days since previous find
Sep 14, 2026 · 03:06 UTC · NiceHash EasyMining
3.1461 BTC ≈ $244,546
⏱ 1 days since previous find
📊 At 3.59 EH/s hashrate, statistically expected to find a block every 2 days. Actual average: 2 days. 😤 Unlucky so far.